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Weather Report for regions in Myanmar (Date:10 August 2015 Forecast)

Meteorologist: Marc de Keyser

Contact: marc.achiel@gmail.com or mobile +32 473 72 76 41

Date: 10 August 2015
Forecast valid for the 10th of August - based on the 09/00utc run

 

Meteogram | Precipitation | Accumulated Precipitation | Pressure | Relative Humidity | Surface Wind | Temperature | 80m AGL Wind | Satellite Image | Cloud Cover

 


Meteogram

Synoptic situation

The ridge of high pressure that extended from the North and had a positive influence on the weather yesterday is gradually decaying and moving away. This high pressure makes place for the low pressure system that extends from Northern India into the Bay of Bengal and Western Myanmar. This means that the risk for showery and thundery outbreaks increases again.
The tropical cyclone that crossed Taiwan is further moving up North and this means there is no further on the impact of Myanmar today and the next few days. There is a weak trough that extends from that cyclone towards Eastern Myanmar which could trigger some extra showery and thundery outbreaks, especially over the Eastern parts than.
Also worth mentioning is that due to the pushing of the high pressure system to the South of the country, the pressure gradient over the Bay of Bengal will gradually increase, which means that high winds are expected to the West of Myanmar in the Bay of Bengal by tomorrow morning.

Warnings

-Moderate to severe turbulence in the vicinity of thunderstorms

 

Forecast for different areas

Province of Chin (Hakha: 22.6/93.6)
-weather: the rain fall from yesterday and last night will gradually die out. Possibly a few sunny spells develop which will make increase the temperature very quickly. This leads to formation of convective cell later during the day. With possibly showery and thundery outbreaks. After 12utc easing and becoming dry.
-precipitation: associated with the early morning rain still up to 10-20mm. Later during the day with the showers: 5-10mm
-wind at surface: weak 2-4kt to calm from variable to directions
-outlook tomorrow (11 Aug 2015): again an increase of the showery/thundery activity: higher frequency and higher intensity of the showers and thunderstorms. Again a higher amount of precip.

meteogramHAKHA

 

 

Province of Magway (Mon Stream: 20.2/94.4)
-weather: fog patches will soon dissipate and sunny spells develop. Later during the day towards the evening: formation of convective clouds with a few showery outbreaks after 12utc
-precipitation: around this location precipitation is between 5-10mm.
-wind at surface:weak from SE but at 1000ft SW 15-20kt: so risk for moderate to severe near sfc turbulence
-outlook tomorrow (11 Aug 2015): also for this location an increase of the showery and thundery activity. An increase of the amount of precipitation

meteogramMONS

 

Province Sagaing (Kalewa: 23.2/94.3)
-weather: this area will still have showery and thundery outbreaks. After 9/12utc the showery activity should gradually die out and some sunny spells develop. In the early morning fog patches/poor visibility.
-precipitation: 5-10mm
-wind at surface: weak to calm from variable directions
-outlook tomorrow (11 Aug 2015): sunny spells in the morning and mainly dry conditions. After 6utc gradually more clouds and showery/thundery outbreaks develop.

meteogramKALW

 

 

Province of Rakhine (Minbya: 20.4/93.3)
-weather: fog patches and sunny spells in the morning, after 6/9utc convective clouds start forming and as a result a few local showers develop. After 12utc again dry.
-precipitation: 2-4mm
-wind at surface: ESE 10-15kt temporarily increasing to ESE 15-20kt
-outlook tomorrow (11 Aug2015):
a few local light showers but nothing very big-

meteogramMINB

 

 

Province of Ayeyarwaddy(Maubin: 16.7/95.6)
-weather: sunny spells with gradually convective clouds that locally result in few slight showery outbreaks. No big amounts of precipitation expected. In general this looks like a pretty nice day, however take in account pretty strong winds.
-precipitation: during showersless than 5mm
-wind at surface: SSW 10-15kt after 8/10utc increasing up to 20-25kt, later again decreasing
-outlook tomorrow:
intense and frequent showers and thunderstorms

meteogramMAUB

 

 

Bagan: 21.2/94.9 (Airport) - Airfield forecast
-Weather: mix of sunny spells and cloudy periods with after 6/9utc a few local light showery outbreaks.
-Clouds: 3-6/8 CuSc around 2500-3000ft –
-Visibility: in generalgood, except during the showers.
-Precipitation: less than 5mm
-wind at surface: weak from Southerly directions after 12/14utc increasing to S 8-13kt
-wind at 1000ft: weak becoming SSE10kt
-wind at 3000ft: SE to SSE10-15kt
-wind at 5000ft: SE to SSE 15kt
-Turbulence: mod near the surface
-Outlook for Sunday10 August:
looks like again more showers will develop.

meteogramBAGAN

 

 

Precipitation

Synoptic situation

The ridge of high pressure that extended from the North and had a positive influence on the weather yesterday is gradually decaying and moving away. This high pressure makes place for the low pressure system that extends from Northern India into the Bay of Bengal and Western Myanmar. This means that the risk for showery and thundery outbreaks increases again.
The tropical cyclone that crossed Taiwan is further moving up North and this means there is no further on the impact of Myanmar today and the next few days. There is a weak trough that extends from that cyclone towards Eastern Myanmar which could trigger some extra showery and thundery outbreaks, especially over the Eastern parts than.
Also worth mentioning is that due to the pushing of the high pressure system to the South of the country, the pressure gradient over the Bay of Bengal will gradually increase, which means that high winds are expected to the West of Myanmar in the Bay of Bengal by tomorrow morning.

Warnings

-Moderate to severe turbulence in the vicinity of thunderstorms

Precip from 09Aug00utc-09Aug03utc

 Precip from 09Aug03utc-09Aug06utc

Precip from 09Aug06utc-09Aug09utc

Precip from 09Aug09utc-09Aug12utc

Precip from 09Aug12utc-09Aug15utc

Precip from 09Aug15utc-09Aug18utc

Precip from 09Aug18utc-09Aug21utc

Precip from 09Aug21utc-10Aug03utc

 

 

 

Accumulated Precipitation

Synoptic situation

The ridge of high pressure that extended from the North and had a positive influence on the weather yesterday is gradually decaying and moving away. This high pressure makes place for the low pressure system that extends from Northern India into the Bay of Bengal and Western Myanmar. This means that the risk for showery and thundery outbreaks increases again.
The tropical cyclone that crossed Taiwan is further moving up North and this means there is no further on the impact of Myanmar today and the next few days. There is a weak trough that extends from that cyclone towards Eastern Myanmar which could trigger some extra showery and thundery outbreaks, especially over the Eastern parts than.
Also worth mentioning is that due to the pushing of the high pressure system to the South of the country, the pressure gradient over the Bay of Bengal will gradually increase, which means that high winds are expected to the West of Myanmar in the Bay of Bengal by tomorrow morning.

Warnings

-Moderate to severe turbulence in the vicinity of thunderstorms

AccumPrecip from 8Aug00utc-9Aug00utc

AccumPrecip from 8Aug00utc-9Aug12utc

 AccumPrecip from 8Aug00utc-10Aug00utc

 

 

 

 

Pressure

Synoptic situation

The ridge of high pressure that extended from the North and had a positive influence on the weather yesterday is gradually decaying and moving away. This high pressure makes place for the low pressure system that extends from Northern India into the Bay of Bengal and Western Myanmar. This means that the risk for showery and thundery outbreaks increases again.
The tropical cyclone that crossed Taiwan is further moving up North and this means there is no further on the impact of Myanmar today and the next few days. There is a weak trough that extends from that cyclone towards Eastern Myanmar which could trigger some extra showery and thundery outbreaks, especially over the Eastern parts than.
Also worth mentioning is that due to the pushing of the high pressure system to the South of the country, the pressure gradient over the Bay of Bengal will gradually increase, which means that high winds are expected to the West of Myanmar in the Bay of Bengal by tomorrow morning.

Warnings

-Moderate to severe turbulence in the vicinity of thunderstorms

SFC Pressure 10Aug00utc

SFC Pressure 10Aug12utc
 SFC Pressure 11Aug00utc

 

 

 

Relative Humidity

Synoptic situation

The ridge of high pressure that extended from the North and had a positive influence on the weather yesterday is gradually decaying and moving away. This high pressure makes place for the low pressure system that extends from Northern India into the Bay of Bengal and Western Myanmar. This means that the risk for showery and thundery outbreaks increases again.
The tropical cyclone that crossed Taiwan is further moving up North and this means there is no further on the impact of Myanmar today and the next few days. There is a weak trough that extends from that cyclone towards Eastern Myanmar which could trigger some extra showery and thundery outbreaks, especially over the Eastern parts than.
Also worth mentioning is that due to the pushing of the high pressure system to the South of the country, the pressure gradient over the Bay of Bengal will gradually increase, which means that high winds are expected to the West of Myanmar in the Bay of Bengal by tomorrow morning.

Warnings

-Moderate to severe turbulence in the vicinity of thunderstorms

SFC RelHumidity-09Aug00utc

SFC RelHumidity-09Aug12utc

SFC RelHumidity-10Aug00utc

 

 

 

Surface Wind

Synoptic situation

The ridge of high pressure that extended from the North and had a positive influence on the weather yesterday is gradually decaying and moving away. This high pressure makes place for the low pressure system that extends from Northern India into the Bay of Bengal and Western Myanmar. This means that the risk for showery and thundery outbreaks increases again.
The tropical cyclone that crossed Taiwan is further moving up North and this means there is no further on the impact of Myanmar today and the next few days. There is a weak trough that extends from that cyclone towards Eastern Myanmar which could trigger some extra showery and thundery outbreaks, especially over the Eastern parts than.
Also worth mentioning is that due to the pushing of the high pressure system to the South of the country, the pressure gradient over the Bay of Bengal will gradually increase, which means that high winds are expected to the West of Myanmar in the Bay of Bengal by tomorrow morning.

Warnings

-Moderate to severe turbulence in the vicinity of thunderstorms

SFCWind-9Aug00utc

SFCWind-9Aug12utc

SFCWind-10Aug00utc

 

 

 

 

Temperature

Synoptic situation

The ridge of high pressure that extended from the North and had a positive influence on the weather yesterday is gradually decaying and moving away. This high pressure makes place for the low pressure system that extends from Northern India into the Bay of Bengal and Western Myanmar. This means that the risk for showery and thundery outbreaks increases again.
The tropical cyclone that crossed Taiwan is further moving up North and this means there is no further on the impact of Myanmar today and the next few days. There is a weak trough that extends from that cyclone towards Eastern Myanmar which could trigger some extra showery and thundery outbreaks, especially over the Eastern parts than.
Also worth mentioning is that due to the pushing of the high pressure system to the South of the country, the pressure gradient over the Bay of Bengal will gradually increase, which means that high winds are expected to the West of Myanmar in the Bay of Bengal by tomorrow morning.


Warnings

-Moderate to severe turbulence in the vicinity of thunderstorms

MaxTemp

MinTemp

 

 

 

80m AGL Wind

Synoptic situation

The ridge of high pressure that extended from the North and had a positive influence on the weather yesterday is gradually decaying and moving away. This high pressure makes place for the low pressure system that extends from Northern India into the Bay of Bengal and Western Myanmar. This means that the risk for showery and thundery outbreaks increases again.
The tropical cyclone that crossed Taiwan is further moving up North and this means there is no further on the impact of Myanmar today and the next few days. There is a weak trough that extends from that cyclone towards Eastern Myanmar which could trigger some extra showery and thundery outbreaks, especially over the Eastern parts than.
Also worth mentioning is that due to the pushing of the high pressure system to the South of the country, the pressure gradient over the Bay of Bengal will gradually increase, which means that high winds are expected to the West of Myanmar in the Bay of Bengal by tomorrow morning.

Warnings

-Moderate to severe turbulence in the vicinity of thunderstorms

 

 

 

 

 

 

Satellite Image

Synoptic situation

The ridge of high pressure that extended from the North and had a positive influence on the weather yesterday is gradually decaying and moving away. This high pressure makes place for the low pressure system that extends from Northern India into the Bay of Bengal and Western Myanmar. This means that the risk for showery and thundery outbreaks increases again.
The tropical cyclone that crossed Taiwan is further moving up North and this means there is no further on the impact of Myanmar today and the next few days. There is a weak trough that extends from that cyclone towards Eastern Myanmar which could trigger some extra showery and thundery outbreaks, especially over the Eastern parts than.
Also worth mentioning is that due to the pushing of the high pressure system to the South of the country, the pressure gradient over the Bay of Bengal will gradually increase, which means that high winds are expected to the West of Myanmar in the Bay of Bengal by tomorrow morning.


Warnings

-Moderate to severe turbulence in the vicinity of thunderstorms

IR-0500utc

 r2s_hrp_0730

 VIS-0500utc

 

 

 

Cloud Cover

Synoptic situation

The ridge of high pressure that extended from the North and had a positive influence on the weather yesterday is gradually decaying and moving away. This high pressure makes place for the low pressure system that extends from Northern India into the Bay of Bengal and Western Myanmar. This means that the risk for showery and thundery outbreaks increases again.
The tropical cyclone that crossed Taiwan is further moving up North and this means there is no further on the impact of Myanmar today and the next few days. There is a weak trough that extends from that cyclone towards Eastern Myanmar which could trigger some extra showery and thundery outbreaks, especially over the Eastern parts than.
Also worth mentioning is that due to the pushing of the high pressure system to the South of the country, the pressure gradient over the Bay of Bengal will gradually increase, which means that high winds are expected to the West of Myanmar in the Bay of Bengal by tomorrow morning.


Warnings

-Moderate to severe turbulence in the vicinity of thunderstorms

 CloudCover9Aug00utc

CloudCover9Aug12utc

 CloudCover10Aug00utc